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Vance Commands GOP Primary as Buttigieg Leads Democrats in 2028 Poll

The survey indicates large undecided blocs in both parties months before 2028 primaries.

Overview

  • Vice President J.D. Vance leads the Republican field with 46 percent support, more than triple Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s 12 percent and far ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’s 9 percent.
  • Pete Buttigieg leads Democrats with 16 percent of support, followed by Kamala Harris at 13 percent and Gavin Newsom at 12 percent; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Josh Shapiro each earn 7 percent.
  • Uncertainty remains high with 17 percent of Republicans and 23 percent of Democrats still undecided about their 2028 primary choices.
  • On a generic 2028 presidential ballot, voters are evenly split at 42 percent for each party and 16 percent remain uncommitted.
  • The Emerson College poll surveyed 1,000 registered U.S. voters June 24–25 and carries a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.