Overview
- A Council on Criminal Justice review found homicides in large cities fell about 21% from 2024 to 2025, pointing to a potentially century‑low national rate if federal figures align.
- The White House touted broad improvements, citing internal tallies of murders down 19%, robberies down 20%, and aggravated assaults down nearly 10% last year.
- President Trump attributed the drop to federal deployments and tougher immigration enforcement, highlighting Memphis, New Orleans, and Washington, D.C., as examples.
- Crime analysts, including Jeff Asher, note the decline began in 2023 and caution that multiple forces likely contributed, making any single‑cause claim unsupported by current evidence.
- Local outcomes vary, with D.C. and other cities reporting steep declines, while leaders such as Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass say their gains predate federal actions and dispute the credit.