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Unity Stock Plunges 26% After Q1 Forecast Misses, Despite Q4 Beat

Investor anxiety over emerging generative-AI rivals compounded the hit to confidence.

Overview

  • Unity projected Q1 2026 revenue of $480 million to $490 million, below the $492 million Wall Street estimate.
  • Management guided Q1 EBITDA to $105 million–$110 million versus the $116.9 million analyst forecast, pointing to margin pressure.
  • The outlook implies flat-to-down sequential revenue versus Q4’s $503.1 million, a break from typical growth-software seasonality.
  • Shares dropped about 26% in premarket trading following the guidance; the stock had fallen 34% year-to-date and had risen roughly 49.5% over the past year.
  • Investors highlighted Google’s Project Genie as a potential long-term threat to traditional development platforms as management offered limited detail on near-term demand drivers.