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Three-Decade Radar Map Finds 12,820 km² of Antarctic Grounded Ice Lost, With 77% of Coast Stable

Researchers say the circumpolar grounding-line record will be the yardstick for future sea-level projections.

Overview

  • Published in PNAS, the study assembles the first comprehensive circumpolar map of grounding-line migration from 1996 to 2025.
  • Retreat is concentrated in West Antarctica’s Amundsen and Getz sectors and parts of the Antarctic Peninsula and East Antarctica, while most coastlines show little change.
  • Pine Island, Thwaites and Smith glaciers retreated roughly 33 km, 26 km and 42 km respectively, exemplifying multi-kilometer pullbacks in key hotspots.
  • Authors link much of the retreat to wind-driven incursions of warm ocean water beneath ice shelves, yet significant losses on the northeast Antarctic Peninsula remain unexplained.
  • The dataset, built from agency and commercial synthetic-aperture radar—including NASA CSDA-supported assets—records an average loss of about 442 km² per year, roughly the area of Greater Los Angeles every three years.