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Texas Senate Primaries Tighten as Democratic Turnout Surges and GOP Runoff Looms

Record turnout plus a Harris endorsement of Jasmine Crockett set up volatile primaries Tuesday.

Overview

  • Former Vice President Kamala Harris endorsed Jasmine Crockett on Friday with a robocall, boosting the Democrat days before her matchup with James Talarico.
  • Democratic early voting has surged to nearly 1.2 million ballots through Thursday, with analysts citing the Crockett–Talarico race as the key driver and some projecting record totals by Election Day.
  • On the Republican side, multiple polls show Ken Paxton leading, though a new University of Texas at Tyler survey puts John Cornyn ahead; President Trump visited Texas on Friday but remained neutral.
  • Republican donors and Cornyn-aligned groups have poured more than $60 million into the race to blunt Paxton, as attack ads escalate across the GOP field.
  • If no GOP candidate clears 50% on March 3, a May 26 runoff is expected, a scenario strategists say could drain resources and heighten general-election risks in a state where Republicans have long dominated statewide contests.