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Tesla Leans Into Robotaxis and Humanoid Robots as EV Sales Slow

Market optimism rests on promised Optimus Gen 3 production and a robotaxi expansion this year despite a steep valuation.

Overview

  • Tesla is pivoting from traditional EV growth toward autonomous vehicles and humanoid robotics, with Elon Musk framing Optimus as the company's future.
  • The company is discontinuing the Model S and Model X to repurpose Fremont capacity for Optimus and Cybercab production lines.
  • Tesla says Gen 3 Optimus production is expected to start this year, while projections of human‑level proficiency in 2026 remain speculative.
  • The Cybercab line is in place and Tesla plans to extend its self‑driving ride‑hailing service to additional cities in 2026.
  • Core auto metrics weakened in 2025 with deliveries down 9% and automotive revenue down 10%, even as the stock trades near a $1.5 trillion market cap and about 390 times earnings, reflecting bets on long‑term robotaxi and robotics gains.