Overview
- Across 59 Super Bowls, the coin has landed tails 31 times and heads 28, with Super Bowl 59 adding to tails' narrow lead.
- Teams that won the toss have gone 26–33 in the game, including an eight-game losing run from 2015 to 2022 followed by mixed results.
- A 2023 study tracking 350,757 flips found a small 50.8% same-side bias, a real effect considered too tiny to offer a practical edge.
- Sporting News simulations show short runs are plausible under chance, with one side winning 27–29 times in 56 flips about 31% of the time.
- Books are dealing the coin toss near even with reduced juice (about -101 to -103), and it ranks among the most-bet markets, with BetMGM showing 51% of tickets on heads and 63% of money on heads.