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Spain Tops Opta’s 2026 World Cup Odds as Viral Tarot Picks Back Portugal, Spain and Argentina

Early forecasts highlight the split between statistical simulation and popular superstition heading into an expanded, still-unsettled field.

Overview

  • Opta’s AI model gives Spain a 17% chance to win the 2026 World Cup, ahead of France at 14.1% and England at 11.8%.
  • Defending champion Argentina is fourth at 8.7%, followed by Germany at 7.1%, Portugal at 6.6% and Brazil at 5.6%.
  • The Opta forecast draws on millions of simulations using historical results, recent form and squad projections with six qualification spots yet to be decided.
  • Astrologer Mhoni Vidente’s tarot reading names Portugal, Spain and Argentina as the leading candidates and excludes Mexico despite co-hosting.
  • Her Portugal pick includes an anecdotal claim about a Cristiano RonaldoDonald Trump connection presented as an energetic influence rather than a scientific factor.