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Rivian's Next Test: R2 Launch Looms as 2025 Gross Profit Appears Within Reach

The stock trades far below its IPO price as investors wait for proof of scalable demand.

Overview

  • Rivian shares sit about 82% below their November 2021 IPO price, reflecting persistent skepticism around the business.
  • Rivian has not reported full-year 2025 results, but the company appears on track for a gross profit after posting gross profit in Q4 2024 and in two of the first three quarters of 2025.
  • Gross profit does not equal profitability on the bottom line, and the company remains unprofitable due to costs beyond manufacturing.
  • The 2026 priority is the R2, a lower-priced mass-market model that would expand beyond Rivian’s high-end consumer vehicles and delivery trucks.
  • Rivian holds roughly $7 billion in cash and short-term investments, supporting the R2 push, and the article suggests aggressive investors might buy before launch while others wait for customer reception.