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Rivian’s Next Test: Depressed Stock Puts Pressure on 2026 R2 Launch

Investors now look to the lower-priced R2 to show whether improving unit economics can translate into lasting profitability.

Overview

  • Rivian shares trade near $14, roughly 92% below the stock’s post-IPO peak of about $172.
  • The company says its mass-market R2 is on track to debut in 2026, a release viewed as the crucial driver of future volume and margins.
  • Rivian appears poised to report a full-year 2025 gross profit after turning gross-profitable in Q4 2024 and in two of the first three quarters of 2025.
  • Despite progress on gross margin, the company remains loss-making, posting Q3 revenue of $1.56 billion, a $24 million gross profit, and a net loss of about $1.1 billion.
  • Deliveries fell in 2025 versus 2024 and 2023, with the quarterly high of 15,564 from Q3 2023 still unmatched, while cash and short-term investments total roughly $7.0–$7.1 billion and recent share issuance has diluted holders.