Overview
- The stock rallied roughly 26%–27% after Rivian reported $120 million in Q4 gross profit and confirmed its sub-$45,000 R2 SUV will reach customers in the second quarter of 2026.
- Full-year gross profit reached $144 million, supported by $576 million in software and services gross profit tied to the Volkswagen partnership.
- Management guided 2026 deliveries to 62,000–67,000 vehicles, with R2 driving most of the increase after manufacturing validation builds were completed in mid-January and a full pricing and spec reveal set for March 12.
- Analyst responses were mixed, with upgrades from UBS and Deutsche Bank and a Neutral stance from Cantor, while DA Davidson downgraded to Underperform citing an aggressive R2 production ramp and demand uncertainties.
- Automotive operations remained loss-making at about $432 million in 2025, and coverage highlighted ongoing cash burn even as liquidity benefits from Volkswagen funding and a DOE loan were noted.