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Ripple CEO Sees 90% Odds for CLARITY Act by April as White House Sets March 1 Push

The prediction reflects revived negotiations in Washington driven by a new deadline from the administration.

Overview

  • The House passed H.R. 3633 in July 2025 by a 294–134 vote, but Senate progress slowed over jurisdiction and stablecoin yield rules.
  • Brad Garlinghouse says recent meetings between banking executives and crypto leaders, along with support from Sen. Bernie Moreno, have helped restart talks.
  • The White House set a March 1 target to accelerate negotiations as lawmakers debate whether stablecoin platforms can offer yield-style incentives that affect bank capital.
  • Interagency coordination has intensified, with the Senate Agriculture Committee advancing a related draft on Jan. 29 and the SEC and CFTC collaborating under “Project Crypto.”
  • Ripple has invested roughly $3 billion since 2023 to expand custody and treasury infrastructure and continues to cite a court ruling that XRP is not a security as it prepares for potential passage.