Overview
- Adjusted Q4 EPS came in at $2.47 versus the $2.11 consensus, with revenue of $36.33 billion up 7% year over year and nearly $2.9 billion above estimates.
- Realized refining margin rose to $12.48 per barrel as the segment earned $542 million versus a year‑ago $759 million loss, with 99% crude utilization and a record 88% clean product yield.
- Net debt declined by roughly $2 billion to $19.7 billion, supported by the December sale of a 65% stake in German and Austrian retail operations.
- Shares advanced after the report, closing up 4.5% on Feb. 4 and gaining about 10.7% from Feb. 2 to Feb. 9.
- Citi on Feb. 9 maintained a Neutral rating and raised its target to $159 as TD Cowen, UBS, BMO, Morgan Stanley, and Piper Sandler also lifted targets; 21‑analyst consensus is Moderate Buy, with the stock above the ~$154 average target and a Street‑high near $177.