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Palantir Faces Split Calls Ahead of Earnings as New Buy Meets Hold

Lofty valuation leaves little room for a miss next week.

Overview

  • Phillip Securities initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $208 target, projecting FY25 revenue of $4.2 billion, up 47%, with faster growth in commercial sales than government.
  • Mizuho reiterated a Hold with a $205 target, reflecting caution as growth shows signs of slowing, and overall analyst consensus clusters around Neutral.
  • Shares have surged roughly 115% to 119% over the past year but show short‑term weakness, including a recent year‑to‑date dip and technical readings that suggest mixed momentum.
  • Investors look to Feb. 2 results, with estimates calling for $0.21 in EPS on about $1.33 billion in revenue, and guidance viewed as the key swing factor given a P/E near 400.
  • Palantir’s AI platform and embedded forward‑deployed engineers support sticky revenue, though about 55% from government work, including ICE’s ImmigrationOS through at least 2027, concentrates political and budget exposure.