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NRW Jobless Rate Climbs to 7.8% in 2025 as Hiring Outlook Hits Pandemic-Era Low

The Ifo employment barometer fell to 91.9 in December, the weakest since May 2020.

Overview

  • NRW recorded roughly 782,000 unemployed in 2025, the highest count since 2009 and the highest annual rate since 2015.
  • Registered vacancies fell 4.5% while unemployment rose 4.8%, pointing to fewer openings and longer hiring timelines, according to the BA.
  • Manufacturing led job losses through 2025, with about 32,000 fewer industrial employees by September and further reductions anticipated.
  • The Ifo reading at 91.9 signals broader plans to trim or freeze staffing despite federal stimulus expectations.
  • The pipeline for talent weakened as around 10,000 apprenticeship places disappeared and an estimated 75,000 skilled workers were lacking, with Ruhr cities such as Gelsenkirchen at 14.8% unemployment.