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North American Bird Declines Are Accelerating, Science Study Finds

The analysis links accelerating losses to intensive agriculture, tying overall abundance declines to rising temperatures.

Overview

  • Nearly half of the 261 species analyzed showed significant declines, and more than half of those are losing numbers at a faster rate since 1987.
  • Researchers used Breeding Bird Survey data from 1987–2021 across 1,033 routes and 10 habitats, finding an average 15% drop in birds per route by 2017.
  • Warming was most strongly associated with overall abundance declines, with the steepest losses in already hot southern states such as Florida and Texas.
  • Agricultural intensity emerged as the strongest predictor of accelerating declines, with acceleration hotspots in the Mid-Atlantic, the Midwest and California.
  • Scientists emphasize the results show correlations rather than proven causation and urge safer farming practices, habitat diversification, reduced chemical use and stronger climate action.