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New START Lapses as Russia Offers Conditional Compliance and U.S.–Russia Talks Resume

Russia signals it will honor the caps contingent on U.S. restraint.

Overview

  • The treaty expired on February 5, 2026, leaving the United States and Russia without binding limits or on-site verification for their strategic arsenals.
  • Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told Russia’s State Duma that Moscow will continue observing New START’s numerical limits only as long as Washington does not exceed them.
  • High-level military-to-military contacts between the U.S. and Russia were reestablished on February 5, and Vice President J.D. Vance said negotiations for an updated START agreement are underway.
  • Reports from talks in Abu Dhabi described a possible informal six‑month restraint, though Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said any extension would have to be formal.
  • China has rejected joining arms-control negotiations, while UN officials and experts warn that the loss of verification and transparency raises global nuclear risk.