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New Poll Finds Key NATO Allies Now Doubt U.S. Reliability and Deterrence

The findings arrive on the eve of Munich talks to test confidence in NATO security.

Overview

  • The POLITICO/Public First survey across the U.K., Germany, Canada and France shows more respondents consider the United States an unreliable ally than a reliable one.
  • Distrust is highest in Canada (57% calling the U.S. unreliable) and Germany (50%), while the U.K. remains comparatively more favorable at 35% reliable versus 39% unreliable.
  • Pluralities in France and Germany say their relationship with Washington would not deter an attack, and the U.K. recorded a 10‑point year‑over‑year drop in perceived U.S. deterrence.
  • Large shares say the U.S. no longer shares their values or protects democracy; in France, 17% say the U.S. shares their values compared with 49% who disagree.
  • Reporting links the downturn to recent U.S. policies and rhetoric, and respondents often expect relations to improve after a change in leadership; the online poll ran Feb. 6–9 with about 2,000 respondents per country and an estimated ±2‑point margin of error.