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Mick Mulvaney Launches ‘Gambling Is Not Investing’ to Push State Control of Prediction Markets

The launch arrives during a jurisdiction fight, with the CFTC asserting federal oversight.

Overview

  • The new coalition seeks to have sports event contracts on prediction platforms governed by state and tribal gambling laws rather than CFTC derivatives rules.
  • Founding members include Moms for America, Consumer Action for a Strong Economy, Frontiers of Freedom, and Hispanic Leadership Fund.
  • Mulvaney argues that sports outcome contracts are indistinguishable from bets and says the effort is a political and PR campaign aimed at lawmakers, regulators, and voters.
  • State actions against platforms like Kalshi have produced mixed early results, with Nevada regulators scoring wins and platforms prevailing in Tennessee, creating a patchwork of litigation.
  • CFTC chair Michael Selig maintains that prediction markets fall under the agency’s jurisdiction and has backed that stance in court, including a brief supporting Crypto.com in a Nevada case.