Overview
- The Paul Bunyan Trophy game kicks off Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing on NBC, with streaming on Fubo.
- Betting lines position Michigan as roughly a two-touchdown favorite, with spreads ranging from -13.5 (FanDuel) to -14.5 (BetMGM).
- Forecast models cited by outlets give Michigan an 85–88% win probability, including simulations from Dimers and ESPN’s Football Power Index.
- Michigan enters 5-2 (3-1 Big Ten) behind a top-25 defense in yards and points allowed and a top-25 rushing offense and defense, while Michigan State is 3-4 with four straight losses and no conference wins.
- MLive reports Michigan State’s defense is allowing 32.7 points per game, worst in the Big Ten, as it prepares for freshman QB Bryce Underwood and a run game led by Justice Haynes, who was sidelined last week with an abdominal injury.
- Tickets remain available through major resale marketplaces, including StubHub, SeatGeek and Vivid Seats.