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General Mills Cuts 2026 Outlook as Weak Demand Weighs on Packaged Foods

The company cites consumer stress alongside GLP‑1‑driven shifts in eating that are slowing volume recovery.

Overview

  • General Mills now expects organic net sales to decline 1.5% to 2% in fiscal 2026, with adjusted operating profit and adjusted diluted EPS down 16% to 20% in constant currency.
  • Shares fell roughly 7% to 8% after the update, with peers including Campbell's, Conagra, Kraft Heinz, Mondelez, McCormick, and J.M. Smucker also sliding.
  • Weak sentiment, persistent cost‑of‑living pressures, SNAP benefit reductions, and promotion‑driven buying have restrained demand, with cereal, snacks, and dog food underperforming.
  • CFO Kofi Bruce said aggregate category growth is currently a little under 1%, below the company’s long‑term 2% to 3% expectation.
  • Management is prioritizing value tactics and innovation in protein‑ and fiber‑forward, weight‑management products, using AI to speed development, while maintaining a free‑cash‑flow conversion target of at least 95%.