Estonia Says Russia Rebuilding Fast but Not Planning NATO Attack Within Two Years

Overview

• Estonia’s annual foreign intelligence report says Moscow has no plan to attack any NATO state this year or next.
• Russian ammunition output is expanding so quickly it can both sustain the war in Ukraine and build stockpiles for future conflicts.
• The service assesses Kremlin leaders fear Europe could field independent military options against Russia within two to three years and are working to delay that rearmament.
• Any strike on Estonia would likely employ coordinated drones on land, at sea and in the air across the country.
• The report says the Kremlin still treats the United States as its main adversary, seeks sanction relief through tactical engagement, and deepens cooperation with China including shared military research.