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CoreWeave Shares Tumble as Surging 2026 Capex and Soft Q1 Outlook Eclipse Q4 Revenue Beat

Investors focused on widening losses, a large debt load, plus execution risk despite a $66.8 billion backlog.

Overview

  • Shares fell nearly 20% Friday after the company beat Q4 revenue expectations with $1.57 billion but posted a larger loss of $0.89 per share.
  • Operating expenses more than doubled in the quarter and adjusted EBITDA of $898 million missed consensus, reinforcing margin concerns.
  • Management guided Q1 revenue to $1.9 billion–$2.0 billion versus about $2.29 billion expected and set 2026 capital spending at $30–$35 billion, more than double last year, with full‑year sales guided to $12–$13 billion.
  • Contracted revenue backlog rose to $66.8 billion as CoreWeave ended 2025 with 850 megawatts of active power and 3.1 gigawatts contracted.
  • Reported debt stood at $21.37 billion (roughly $30 billion including leases) as Nvidia invested $2 billion and, according to an analyst account and company comment, could provide credit enhancements such as potential lease guarantees.