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Coinbase Posts $667 Million Q4 Loss as Trading Slumps and Crypto Holdings Are Marked Down

Guidance for early 2026 points lower, with management emphasizing a pivot to subscriptions and stablecoins.

Overview

  • Coinbase reported a $666.7–$667 million net loss for Q4 2025, driven largely by a $718 million unrealized loss on its crypto portfolio and additional strategic investment losses.
  • Core activity weakened as transaction revenue fell to about $983 million and quarterly trading volume dropped to $215 billion, down 51% year over year.
  • Subscription and services revenue rose to $727.4 million, with stablecoin revenue increasing to $364.1 million and the category accounting for roughly 43% of quarterly net revenue.
  • For Q1 2026, the company forecast subscription and services revenue of $550 million to $630 million and disclosed about $420 million in transaction revenue through February 10.
  • Shares whipsawed after the release, including a rally of roughly 16%–18% on a buy-the-dip day, as analysts cut price targets and issued mixed ratings; Coinbase highlighted rising institutional revenue tied to Deribit, $11.3 billion in cash, and continued share buybacks.