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CFTC Scraps Event-Contracts Ban Plan in Rulemaking Reset

The reversal reduces federal uncertainty for prediction markets pending new rules.

Overview

  • Chair Mike Selig formally withdrew the 2024 proposal that sought to classify political, sports, and war-related event contracts as contrary to the public interest.
  • The CFTC also rescinded a September 2025 staff advisory on sports event contracts after concluding it created confusion about litigation risks.
  • Selig criticized the prior effort as a "frolic into merit regulation" and directed staff to draft a new event-contracts rule grounded in the Commodity Exchange Act.
  • Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are seen as beneficiaries of the shift, with growing interest from firms like Coinbase and Cboe reported by industry outlets.
  • State-level actions against event contracts continue in multiple jurisdictions, and prior court rulings that allowed Kalshi to list election markets frame the backdrop as Congress weighs broader market-structure legislation.