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Ceasefire Holds as Debate Rages Over Impact of US Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Sites

IAEA inspectors are seeking site access following US claims of complete demolition that conflict with a low-confidence intelligence assessment.

Overview

  • President Trump ordered the US strikes on June 20 targeting Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan with bunker-buster bombs and Tomahawk missiles in support of Israel.
  • Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and CIA Director John Ratcliffe have described the operation as historically successful and capable of setting back Iran’s nuclear programme for years.
  • A preliminary US intelligence assessment leaked to the press suggests the strikes only delayed Iran’s nuclear work by months and suffers from low confidence.
  • IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi reports missing information on Iran’s enriched uranium and is pushing for verification despite Tehran’s parliament suspending cooperation.
  • After a ceasefire brokered on June 23 continues to hold, US officials are urging Israel to renew negotiations with Hamas and preparing talks with Iranian representatives next week.