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Barclays Starts Merck at Overweight on 2026 Pipeline Catalysts as WSJ Reports Business Split Plan

The bank points to earnings upside from launches that prepare Merck for Keytruda’s 2028 patent loss.

Overview

  • Barclays initiated coverage of Merck with an Overweight rating and a $140 price target, citing “first‑in‑class” launches and key 2026 data readouts.
  • The Wall Street Journal reports Merck plans to split its pharmaceutical operations into separate oncology and non‑oncology units to reflect the central role of Keytruda.
  • Keytruda generates nearly half of company revenue and faces U.S. loss of exclusivity in 2028, with a newly approved subcutaneous formulation positioned to ease administration.
  • Merck is broadening revenue sources with newer products including Winrevair, now at an annualized sales run rate above $1 billion, and the pneumonia vaccine Capvaxive.
  • Competition is intensifying as Summit Therapeutics’ ivonescimab beat Keytruda in a head‑to‑head trial for certain PD‑L1‑high non‑small cell lung cancer patients.