Overview
- The People’s Pulse field survey of 5,000 respondents across all 126 constituencies (Nov 15–Dec 31) projects BJP at 69–74 seats and the NDA near 90, with estimated vote shares of BJP ~39% and Congress ~37%.
- Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma said it is too early to draw conclusions before alliances and seat-sharing are fixed, even as he suggested the BJP-NDA could potentially win about 103 seats after delimitation.
- Sarma said the BJP has identified consensus candidates in roughly half of the constituencies it plans to contest, with talks initiated with allies AGP, UPPL and BPF.
- AGP signalled it wants to field at least one candidate in every district, and NDA partners have yet to finalize how many seats each will contest.
- Opposition negotiations remain unsettled after state Congress chief Gaurav Gogoi declared his party would contest more than 100 seats, drawing unease from prospective allies and leaving no formal pact in place.