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Analysts Turn Cautious on EOG as RBC Cuts Forecasts and KeyBanc Downgrades

Lower oil-price assumptions plus weaker Texas well results prompted estimate reductions and a more guarded stance on the shares.

Overview

  • RBC trimmed its EOG price target to $138 and kept an Outperform rating after lowering its 2026 WTI assumption to $56 per barrel.
  • RBC reduced 2026 EPS to $8.19 from $9.76 and cash flow per share to $19.05 from $20.79, with 2027 EPS and cash flow now at $11.43 and $23.07.
  • KeyBanc’s Tim Rezvan cut EOG to Sector Weight from Overweight, citing clear productivity degradation in the Eagle Ford and Delaware Basin.
  • KeyBanc maintained a $138 price target and highlighted continued optimism about EOG’s oily Utica asset despite concerns in legacy Texas areas.
  • Coverage notes EOG screens with a low forward P/E, leaving investors to weigh valuation appeal against commodity and operational headwinds.