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Amazon’s $200 Billion 2026 CapEx Plan Divides Wall Street

Investors weigh near-term margin pressure versus potential long-term AWS and AI payoffs.

Overview

  • Amazon outlined about $200 billion in 2026 capital spending, up from roughly $130 billion in 2025, with most funds directed to AWS and AI infrastructure.
  • Shares fell about 5.6% intraday on Feb. 6 following the capex disclosure, as commentary highlighted softer operating income guidance contributing to the pullback.
  • Analyst views split: DA Davidson cut the stock to Neutral with a $175 target, Bank of America kept a Buy citing expected AWS capex returns, and Dan Ives lowered his target to $300.
  • AWS revenue growth remains near 24%, and Amazon says its Trainium and Graviton chips now generate more than $10 billion annually with triple-digit growth rates.
  • Reuters reported Amazon is in talks to invest up to $50 billion in OpenAI, a developing possibility that could reshape expectations for its AI strategy.